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Gold rallies on weaker US dollar

Home >  Daily Market Digest >  Gold rallies on weaker US dollar

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Written by:
Myrsini Giannouli

28 November 2023
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Gold prices edged higher on Monday, benefiting from the dollar’s decline, touching $2,015 per ounce. If gold prices increase, resistance may be encountered near $2,053 per ounce, while if gold prices decline, support may be found near $1,984 per ounce. 

Gold prices continued to rise for the second week in a row, rising above the key $2,000 per ounce level. Gold prices are propped up by the dollar’s weakness as well as by increased expectations that the Fed has reached its rate ceiling.

GoldThe dollar’s movement has predominantly directed gold prices the competing gold typically loses appeal as an investment when the dollar rises. The dollar remained weak on Monday, and the dollar index dropped to the 103.3 level. US treasury yields also edged lower on Monday, with the US 10-year bond yielding approximately 4.40%.  

Inflation in the US eased more than expected in October, driving down rate hike expectations and boosting gold prices. Headline inflation rose by 3.2% year-on-year in October from 3.7% in September, against expectations of a 3.3% print. 

Increases in central banks’ interest rates put pressure on gold prices since assets yielding interest become a more appealing investment compared to gold as interest rates rise. Gold prices are propped up by expectations that the Fed’s tightening cycle is coming to an end, signaling the start of a Fed pivot. At the latest Fed meeting, FOMC members voted to keep interest rates unchanged at a 22-year high within a target range of 5.25% to 5.50%. The Fed has made it clear that its approach from now on will be data-driven and Tuesday’s inflation data have brought odds of a rate hike in December to zero. Market odds of another rate hike in December have dropped to zero, while markets are pricing in rate cuts as early as May.

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Written by:
Myrsini Giannouli

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