Gold prices surge as geopolitical concerns outweigh the dollar’s rally

Gold prices rose above $2,350 per ounce on Thursday, benefiting from increased risk aversion sentiment. If gold prices rise, resistance may be encountered near $2,390 per ounce, while if gold prices decline, support may be encountered near $2,280 per ounce. 

Gold prices have experienced a meteoric rise recently and are trading in overbought territory. Geopolitical tensions raise the appeal of safe-haven assets boosting gold prices. Concerns that the crisis in the Gaza area may spread to neighboring countries are raising demand for safe-haven assets keeping gold prices high. Israel threatens to declare an all-out war with Hezbollah, which will destabilize the region further.

Gold prices have been typically directed by the dollar’s movement, as the competing gold typically loses appeal as an investment when the dollar rises. The dollar gained strength on Thursday and the index rose to 105.6. US treasury yields also advanced, boosting the dollar, with the US 10-year bond yield yielding 4.26%. 

Gold prices are affected by central banks’ interest rates. A restrictive monetary policy hinders economic growth lowering the global economic outlook and putting pressure on gold prices. As expected, the US Federal Reserve kept interest rates unchanged at its policy meeting last week, within a target range of 5.25% to 5.50%. 

Odds of a Fed rate cut in September dropped from 70% to 60% this week putting pressure on gold prices. The uncertainty around the US Fed rate outlook is causing volatility in gold prices. 

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Written by:
Myrsini Giannouli

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