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Weekly Outlook

Weekly Market Outlook For December 5th To December 11th

Fed Chair Jerome Powell delivered an unexpectedly dovish speech stating that he sees rate hikes slowing down as soon as December.

Myrsini Giannouli 06 December 2022

Weekly Market Outlook For November 28th To December 4th

The minutes of latest FOMC minutes have revealed that there is no clear consensus among Fed members at the moment, leading to mixed signals for the markets.

Myrsini Giannouli 28 November 2022

Weekly Market Outlook For November 21st To November 27th

Market expectations of future rate hikes were considerably trimmed after the CPI inflation report and were further diminished after Tuesday’s PPI inflation print.

Myrsini Giannouli 21 November 2022

Weekly Market Outlook For November 14th To November 20th

US inflation data for October fell below projections, with annual CPI printing at 7.7% against 7.9% expected, indicating that US inflation is cooling faster than expected.

Myrsini Giannouli 14 November 2022

Weekly Market Outlook For November 7th To November 13th

The US Federal Reserve voted to increase interest rates by 75 basis points last Wednesday, bringing its benchmark interest rate in a range of 3.75% to 4.0%.

Myrsini Giannouli 07 November 2022

Weekly Market Outlook For October 31st To November 6th

All eyes are going to be on the Fed monetary policy meeting on Wednesday with the odds in favor of another rate hike of 75-bps, bringing the interest rate to 4.0%.

Myrsini Giannouli 31 October 2022

Weekly Market Outlook For October 24th To October 30th

US Treasury yields soared, with the US 10-year bond yield climbing above 4.3%, its highest level since June 2008, and the two-year yield surging above 4.6%, its highest level since August 2007.

Myrsini Giannouli 24 October 2022

Weekly Market Outlook For October 17th To October 23rd

US inflation reached 8.2% on an annual basis in September putting pressure on the Federal Reserve to continue its policy of monetary tightening.

Myrsini Giannouli 17 October 2022

Weekly Market Outlook For October 10th To October 16th

US employment data were optimistic, indicating healthy job growth, increasing the likelihood that the Fed will maintain its aggressively tight fiscal policy.

Myrsini Giannouli 10 October 2022

Weekly Market Outlook For October 3rd To October 9th

Hawkish Fed rhetoric propelled the dollar to fresh 20-year highs early last week on expectations of steep rate hikes, with the dollar index climbing to 114.7.

Myrsini Giannouli 03 October 2022

Weekly Market Outlook For September 26th To October 2nd

Fed Chair Jerome Powel stated that the Fed is determined to curb inflation, even to the expense of economic growth, raising expectations of future rate hikes.

Myrsini Giannouli 26 September 2022

Weekly Market Outlook For September 19th To September 25th

The US Federal Reserve is expected to raise its benchmark interest this week to combat persistently high inflation rates, with markets pricing in another 75 basis points rate hike.

Myrsini Giannouli 19 September 2022

Weekly Market Outlook For September 12th To September 18th

As more major Central Banks are shifting toward a tighter monetary policy, the divergence between interest rates with the Fed becomes less apparent, putting pressure on the dollar.

Myrsini Giannouli 12 September 2022

Weekly Market Outlook For September 5th To September 11th

Fed rhetoric remained firmly hawkish, with FOMC member Loretta Mester stating that she sees the Fed benchmark interest rate rising to 4% and no rate cuts through 2023.

Myrsini Giannouli 05 September 2022

Weekly Market Outlook For August 29th To September 4th

In his much-anticipated speech at the Jackson Hole symposium last week, Fed Chair Jerome Powell showed no signs of wavering in the battle against inflation.

Myrsini Giannouli 29 August 2022

Weekly Market Outlook For August 22nd To August 28th

FOMC meeting minutes released last week indicated that Fed members are still committed to raising interest rates, pointing to a steep rate hike in September and providing a major boost for the dollar.

Myrsini Giannouli 22 August 2022

Weekly Market Outlook For August 15th To August 21st

US inflation data are likely to play a decisive role in the Fed’s rate hike in September, as the sudden drop in inflation may induce the Fed to hold back from an aggressive monetary tightening.

Myrsini Giannouli 16 August 2022

Weekly Market Outlook For August 8th To August 14th

The dollar rallied last week, as stronger than expected economic activity and employment data towards the end of the week helped quell recession fears.

Myrsini Giannouli 10 August 2022

Weekly Market Outlook For July 25th To July 31st

Markets are becoming more moderate in their expectations of a Fed rate hike, as slow economic activity indicates that the US economy may not be able to withstand aggressive tightening.

Myrsini Giannouli 25 July 2022

Weekly Market Outlook For July 18th To July 24th

The dollar spiked last week, boosted by soaring US inflation rates, with the dollar index rising above 109.2 and setting a fresh 20-year high.

Myrsini Giannouli 18 July 2022

Weekly Market Outlook For July 11th To July 15th

Robust financial and employment data show that the US economy is not at imminent risk of recession, increasing the chances of a steep rate hike in July. 

Myrsini Giannouli 11 July 2022

Weekly Market Outlook For July 4th To July 10th

Recession fears are boosting the safe-haven dollar, outweighing concerns of US economic downturn spurred by weak economic data.

Myrsini Giannouli 04 July 2022

Weekly Market Outlook For June 27th To July 3rd

In his testimony before the Senate Banking Committee, Fed Chair Jerome Powell stressed the importance of bringing US inflation down and admitted that recession was certainly a possibility.

Myrsini Giannouli 27 June 2022

Weekly Market Outlook For June 20th To June 26th

Record high US inflation rates have forced the Fed to ramp up its efforts by performing its steeper rate hike since 1994 and bringing its benchmark interest rate to 1.75%.

Myrsini Giannouli 20 June 2022

Weekly Market Outlook For June 13th To June 19th

The Fed is expected to raise its benchmark interest rate by 50 base points on Wednesday, continuing its policy of monetary tightening and gradual return to pre-pandemic rates.

Myrsini Giannouli 14 June 2022

Weekly Market Outlook For June 6th To June 12th

The dollar has been retreating on a mix of weak economic data and unstable market sentiment, although hawkish Fed rhetoric supports the currency.

Myrsini Giannouli 06 June 2022

Weekly Market Outlook For May 30th To June 5th

FOMC meeting minutes indicate that FOMC members are prepared for a series of rate hikes of 50 base points each, confirming that the Fed intends to move with a gradual but steady pace towards monetary policy normalization.

Myrsini Giannouli 31 May 2022

Weekly Market Outlook For May 23rd To May 29th

The USD, which has been trading into overbought territory, faced its worst week since January, weakened by unstable market sentiment and lack of support from Treasury yields.

Myrsini Giannouli 23 May 2022

Weekly Market Outlook For May 16th To May 22nd

Several FOMC Members have adopted a hawkish stance and openly support a 50 base point rate hike, increasing the probability that the voting in the next policy meeting will be in favor of such a rise.

Myrsini Giannouli 16 May 2022

Weekly Market Outlook For May 9th To May 15th

Fed Chair Powell stated last week that the Fed is not considering a 75 bs rate hike for the next policy meeting, thwarting market expectations and driving the dollar down.

Myrsini Giannouli 09 May 2022

Weekly Market Outlook For May 2nd To May 8th

The Fed may move towards a policy of quantitative tightening at its meeting this Wednesday, by starting to trim its 9 trillion USD balance sheet.

Myrsini Giannouli 03 May 2022

Weekly Market Outlook For April 25th To April 29th

US Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell seems to be in favor of an aggressive rate hike, stating that a 50 base point increase in the Fed’s benchmark interest rate is on the table for the Fed’s next policy meeting in May.

Myrsini Giannouli 26 April 2022

Weekly Market Outlook For April 18th To April 24th

Inflation remains one of the biggest problems for the US economy, with CPI data showing that headline inflation rose to 8.5%, its highest rate since 1981, and PPI data marking their biggest increase in over a decade.

Myrsini Giannouli 18 April 2022

Weekly Market Outlook For April 11th To April 17th

FOMC minutes showed that several Fed officials were in favor of a rate hike of 50 base points last month, increasing the chances of a 50 bp increase in the Fed’s benchmark interest rate in May.

Myrsini Giannouli 11 April 2022

Weekly Market Outlook For April 4th To April 10th

The dollar was boosted by hawkish Fed rhetoric, increasing the odds of a 50 bp rate hike at the Central Bank’s next meeting, with markets anticipating total rate hikes of at least 175 base points within the year.

Myrsini Giannouli 04 April 2022

Weekly Market Outlook For March 28th To April 3rd

The 10-year US treasury yields rose to a two-year high of 2.5% last week, providing support for the dollar, as investors anticipate a more aggressively hawkish Fed policy.

Myrsini Giannouli 28 March 2022

Weekly Market Outlook For March 21st to March 27th

Diplomatic talks between Russia and Ukraine last week have sparked hopes of a de-escalation of the conflict, although Russian attacks continue.

Myrsini Giannouli 21 March 2022

Weekly Market Outlook For March 14th to March 20th

War continues raging in Ukraine for almost 20 days now, with heavy casualties including civilians and children.

Myrsini Giannouli 14 March 2022

Weekly Market Outlook For February 28th to March 4th

Western allies announced that they would be blocking "a certain number of Russian banks" from access to the SWIFT banking system and impose restrictions on Russia’s Central Bank, that would effectively cut off Russian Banks from the international financing system and undermine the Russian Central Bank’s ability to support the collapsing Rubble.

Myrsini Giannouli 28 February 2022

Weekly Market Outlook For February 21st to 27th

Geopolitical tensions were re-ignited and investors turned towards safe-haven assets, with gold price climbing to $1,900 per ounce, while crypto markets were hit hard, with Bitcoin plummeting below the $40,000 key level.

Myrsini Giannouli 21 February 2022

Weekly Market Outlook For February 14th to 20th

The EU is building a partnership for energy security with the US and other Natural Gas suppliers, in an attempt to mitigate a potential energy crisis and shield the EU from energy shortages.

Myrsini Giannouli 14 February 2022

Weekly Market Outlook for February 7th to 13th

The EU relies on Russia for most of its natural gas and oil imports, as well as for wheat and other commodities, and a disruption in supply might result in a rise in prices and an increase in inflation rates for the Eurozone.

Myrsini Giannouli 07 February 2022

Weekly Market Outlook for January 31st to February 6th

The dollar picked up momentum after the Federal Reserve released a more hawkish statement than anticipated, with the dollar index climbing to almost 97.5 points on Friday.

Myrsini Giannouli 31 January 2022

Weekly Market Outlook for January 23rd to 30th

WTI price rose to a 7-year high of over $86 per barrel, oversupply concerns and tight oil inventories.

Myrsini Giannouli 24 January 2022

Weekly Market Outlook for January 9th to 15th

The past year saw an increase in the price of the dollar, as the pandemic started to recede and global economy was set on the path to recovery.

Myrsini Giannouli 10 January 2022

Weekly Market Outlook for January 16th to 22nd

The yearly US CPI rate announced on Wednesday registered the biggest annual gain since 1982, but the USD sank even further, after US inflation rates rose but still came in line with expectations.

Myrsini Giannouli 17 January 2022

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