Gold prices surge as the dollar plummets

Gold prices surged on Monday, rising to $2,350 per ounce as the rivaling dollar plummeted, pushed down by weak US fundamentals. If gold prices rise, resistance may be encountered near $2,360 per ounce, while if gold prices decline, support may be encountered near $2,280 per ounce. 

Gold prices have been typically directed by the dollar’s movement, as the competing gold typically loses appeal as an investment when the dollar rises. The dollar plummeted on Monday and the dollar index dipped below 104.2. US treasury yields also retreated putting pressure on the dollar, with the US 10-year bond yielding approximately 4.40%.

Gold prices have experienced a meteoric rise recently and are trading in overbought territory. Geopolitical tensions raise the appeal of safe-haven assets boosting gold prices. Concerns that the crisis in the Gaza area may spread to neighboring countries are raising demand for safe-haven assets keeping gold prices high. 

Gold prices are affected by central banks’ interest rates. A restrictive monetary policy hinders economic growth lowering the global economic outlook and putting pressure on gold prices. The US Federal Reserve kept interest rates unchanged at its latest policy meeting, within a target range of 5.25% to 5.50%. 

Odds of rate cuts are becoming more moderate, putting pressure on gold prices, as policymakers state that they do not intend to start reducing interest rates until there is more evidence of disinflation. The uncertainty around the US Fed rate outlook is causing volatility in gold prices. Fed policymakers have expressed that the progress of disinflation in the first quarter of the year was disappointing and that interest rates would need to remain at high levels for longer for inflation to cool sufficiently.

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Written by:
Myrsini Giannouli

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